2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
882 sqft ·
Built 1978
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 179 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,478/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$503
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$350
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$154/mo
Annual
$1,852/yr
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.89%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.54%
Cash to close
$26,880
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $96k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $664 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#118 in MD, #4,991 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, crime F.
Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.5% in Edgewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— visible wear
Major: exterior siding
— gray siding with discoloration
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— existing but dated design
CashFlowRE · CFR-VHTTNB9MXXY1YP
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29