2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,310 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Condo
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,584/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$204
HOA
−$321
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$543
Net cashflow
$598/mo
Annual
$7,181/yr
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.65%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $598 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#17 in IN, #1,427 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
School Town Of Munster (suburban): math 65% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #6 of 301 in IN (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: James B Eads Elementary School (math 75% / reading 57%, grade B+, #71 of 994 statewide, top 7%, 507 students, 33% FRL); Wilbur Wright Middle School (math 51% / reading 59%, grade B-, #26 of 330 statewide, top 8%, 908 students, 24% FRL); Munster High School (math 71% / reading 91%, grade A, #4 of 369 statewide, top 1%, 1,564 students, 23% FRL).
Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.0% in Munster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29