4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 1936
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 159 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,695/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$296
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$356
Net cashflow
$125/mo
Annual
$1,504/yr
Cap rate
7.15%
Cash-on-cash
3.07%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (3.1% below list).
It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#278 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Warrick County School Corporation (suburban): math 54% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #24 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 249 units permitted in Warrick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warrick County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $175k implies a 248% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.5% in Boonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VM1RAS053ZGK9M
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29