3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,356 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Townhouse
· Active
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,555/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$150
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$-21/mo
Annual
$-246/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.55%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $159k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-246/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (2.2% below list).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $149k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Sylvania Schools (suburban): math 63% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #157 of 656 in OH (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Stranahan Elementary School (math 52% / reading 63%, grade C+, #721 of 1,584 statewide, top 46%, 528 students, 32% FRL); Sylvania Timberstone Junior High School (math 56% / reading 72%, grade B+, #221 of 654 statewide, top 35%, 600 students, 24% FRL); Sylvania Southview High School (math 53% / reading 74%, grade B-, #196 of 781 statewide, top 25%, 1,107 students, 22% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $159k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior door
— slightly worn
Minor: interior door
— slightly worn
Minor: ceiling fans
— slightly worn
CashFlowRE · CFR-VN07RS59Q5WMCM
· Data 35 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29