3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,992 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Townhouse
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,190/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$724
Tax + insurance
−$443
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$460
Net cashflow
$563/mo
Annual
$6,756/yr
Cap rate
11.19%
Cash-on-cash
17.49%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$38,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $954 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#562 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Eastern York SD (rural): math 40% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #146 of 539 in PA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $138k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VNJZKJCVBDPKBP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29