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120 Locust St
B+ Composite 78.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$138,000

120 Locust St · Wrightsville, PA 17368
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,992 sqft · Townhouse public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1900 Est $231k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS-IS" CONDITION. HOME WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY.

Key facts

  • Built 1900
  • Listed 37 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $138k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#562 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Eastern York SD (rural): math 40% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #146 of 539 in PA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $954 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $138k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,860 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
11.19%
Cash-on-cash
17.49%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$231,072
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
228 Locust St 0.09mi 3/1.5 2,084 (+5%) 9mo $296,500 $142 79
624 S Front St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,944 (-2%) 15mo $225,000 $116 58
610 Hellam St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,920 (-4%) 20mo $219,500 $114 54
417 S 2nd St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,836 (-8%) 18mo $150,000 $82 51
513 Hellam St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,704 (-14%) 23mo $251,000 $147 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$13,663
Equity at exit
$20,576
10-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$58,740
Equity at exit
$11,932

Cash invested: $38,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17368

Home prices YoY
-26.3%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,190 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$724
Tax from tax record
$386 /mo · $4,630/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$563

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,477
Max offer price $138,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,500
Closing costs
$4,140
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
824 Apache Ln Wrightsville, PA 3.0 2.0 1900 $2,500 $1.32 13d 1 0.70mi
37 Travis Cir Wrightsville, PA 2.0 2.0–2.5 1361 $1,686 $1.24 13d 14 0.81mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $138,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $138,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $138,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $138,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $138,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $138,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $138,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $138,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $138,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $138,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $138,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $138,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $138,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $138,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $138,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $138,000 Active 197-char remark
  17. 2005-09-15
    soldstatus $70,000
  18. 2005-08-31
    soldstatus $72,000 133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS-IS" CONDITION. HOME WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY.

  19. 2005-08-17
    historical 133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS-IS" CONDITION. HOME WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY.

  20. 2005-03-24
    listed $72,000 133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS-IS" CONDITION. HOME WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY.

  21. 1996-06-03
    soldstatus $80,900
  22. 1995-05-16
    soldstatus $64,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,630 · $386/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,630 · $386/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,279
− Mortgage interest
−$7,730
− Property taxes
−$4,630
− Insurance
−$690
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,102
− Management
−$2,102
− Depreciation
−$4,015
Taxable income
$5,010
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,202
After-tax cash flow
$5,554/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eastern York SD
NCES district ID
4208790
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$56,178
Composite
44.94/100
National rank
#2712
State rank
#146 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wrightsville

Score
73/100
State rank
#562
US rank
#5294

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wrightsville, PA
Population (ZIP)
6,768

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
454,205 people
By 2030
457,407 · +0.7%
By 2040
457,529 · +0.7%
By 2050
448,261 · -1.3%
By 2075
427,388 · -5.9%
By 2100
384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.10%
Current HPI
255.1214
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+112.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $138,000 FSBO.com
  • 2005-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2005-08-31 Sold (MLS) $72,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-08-17 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-03-24 Listed $72,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1996-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $80,900 Public Records
  • 1995-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,630 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…