120 Locust St · Wrightsville, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$138,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS-IS" CONDITION. HOME WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 37 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $138k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
- Recommended offer: $134k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#562 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Eastern York SD (rural): math 40% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #146 of 539 in PA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $954 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $138k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.49%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $231,072
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 Locust St | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 2,084 (+5%) | 9mo | $296,500 | $142 | 79 |
| 624 S Front St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,944 (-2%) | 15mo | $225,000 | $116 | 58 |
| 610 Hellam St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,920 (-4%) | 20mo | $219,500 | $114 | 54 |
| 417 S 2nd St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,836 (-8%) | 18mo | $150,000 | $82 | 51 |
| 513 Hellam St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,704 (-14%) | 23mo | $251,000 | $147 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $13,663
- Equity at exit
- $20,576
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $58,740
- Equity at exit
- $11,932
Cash invested: $38,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17368
- Home prices YoY
- -26.3%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,190 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$724
- Tax from tax record
- −$386 /mo · $4,630/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $563
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,500
- Closing costs
- $4,140
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 824 Apache Ln Wrightsville, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,500 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 37 Travis Cir Wrightsville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1361 | $1,686 | $1.24 | 13d | 14 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $138,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $138,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $138,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $138,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $138,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $138,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $138,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $138,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $138,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $138,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $138,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $138,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $138,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $138,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $138,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$138,000 Active 197-char remark
-
2005-09-15soldstatus $70,000
-
2005-08-31soldstatus $72,000 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS-IS" CONDITION. HOME WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY.
-
2005-08-17historical 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS-IS" CONDITION. HOME WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY.
-
2005-03-24$72,000 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS-IS" CONDITION. HOME WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY.
-
1996-06-03soldstatus $80,900
-
1995-05-16soldstatus $64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,630 · $386/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,630 · $386/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,730
- − Property taxes
- −$4,630
- − Insurance
- −$690
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,102
- − Management
- −$2,102
- − Depreciation
- −$4,015
- Taxable income
- $5,010
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,202
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,554/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eastern York SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208790
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,178
- Composite
- 44.94/100
- National rank
- #2712
- State rank
- #146 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wrightsville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #562
- US rank
- #5294
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wrightsville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,768
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.10%
- Current HPI
- 255.1214
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+112.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $138,000 FSBO.com
- 2005-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-31 Sold (MLS) $72,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-08-17 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-03-24 Listed $72,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $80,900 Public Records
- 1995-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $4,630 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…