2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$846/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$261/mo
Annual
$3,130/yr
Cap rate
11.60%
Cash-on-cash
18.94%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($846 rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,204 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
West Central CUSD 235 (rural): math 8% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #581 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: West Central Elementary School (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 308 students, 0% FRL); West Central Middle School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #636 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 184 students, 0% FRL); West Central High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 199 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henderson County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29