4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,747 sqft ·
Built 1899
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,732/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$311
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$574
Net cashflow
$773/mo
Annual
$9,272/yr
Cap rate
10.82%
Cash-on-cash
16.15%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$57,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $773 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in ND, #2,645 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
Grand Forks 1 (urban): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #27 of 53 in ND (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Wilder Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #173 of 236 statewide, top 76%, 177 students, 62% FRL); Valley Middle School (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #31 of 35 statewide, top 88%, 513 students, 56% FRL); Central High School (math 29% / reading 56%, grade F, #48 of 144 statewide, top 33%, 1,093 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 29% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,732/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1031% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29