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618 & 620 8th Ave N Multi-family
B+ Composite 77.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,000

618 & 620 8th Ave N · Grand Forks, ND 58203
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,747 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1899 9,139 sqft lot Est $250k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property. Side by side duplex with an excellent income & rental history. Newer shingles & several newer windows.

Key facts

  • Income potential
  • Functional layouts
  • 9,139 sq ft lot

Tags

FULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTINCOME POTENTIALFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes listed (see listing for amount)

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Parking pad
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Duplex; Two-story; Residential income / Multi-family property; Zoned A-1 Limited Development
  • Construction: Above-grade finished area approximately 1,934; Total building area approximately 3,120
  • Exterior features: Concrete parking pad; Off-street parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Range; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $773 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in ND, #2,645 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
  • Grand Forks 1 (urban): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #27 of 53 in ND (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Wilder Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #173 of 236 statewide, top 76%, 177 students, 62% FRL); Valley Middle School (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #31 of 35 statewide, top 88%, 513 students, 56% FRL); Central High School (math 29% / reading 56%, grade F, #48 of 144 statewide, top 33%, 1,093 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 29% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,732/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1031% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $186,550 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.82%
Cash-on-cash
16.15%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$249,821
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1115 N 20th St 0.55mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,715 (-2%) 11mo $245,000 $143 53
1513 University Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,522 (-13%) 2mo $159,900 $105 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$24,362
Equity at exit
$30,566
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$121,068
Equity at exit
$17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58203

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,732 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$225 /mo · $2,702/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$574
Net cashflow
$773

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,754
Max offer price $205,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $889 -5% $831 +0% $773 +5% $715 +10% $657
Rent -10% $557 -5% $665 +0% $773 +5% $881 +10% $988
Rate -1.0pp $876 -0.5pp $825 base $773 +0.5pp $720 +1.0pp $665

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,732

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
214 N 4th St Grand Forks, ND 3.0 1.0–2.0 974 $2,345 $2.41 45d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $205,000 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $205,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $205,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $205,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $205,000 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $205,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $205,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $215,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $215,000 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 72 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $215,000 Active 71 DOM
  18. 2026-05-07
    price $215,000
  19. 2026-03-20
    listed $225,000 Active
  20. 2024-04-10
    historical $750
  21. 2024-03-13
    listed $750
  22. 2014-09-02
    soldstatus
  23. 2014-08-29
    soldstatus 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Great investment property. Side by side duplex with an excellent income & rental history. Newer shingles & several newer windows.

  24. 2014-05-28
    listed $136,000 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Great investment property. Side by side duplex with an excellent income & rental history. Newer shingles & several newer windows.

  25. 2010-09-02
    soldstatus
  26. 2006-02-16
    soldstatus
  27. 2005-12-21
    soldstatus
  28. 2005-08-31
    soldstatus
  29. 2005-08-31
    soldstatus
  30. 2001-12-11
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,702 · $225/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,702 · $225/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,784
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$2,702
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,623
− Management
−$2,623
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable income
$6,365
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,528
After-tax cash flow
$7,744/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Forks 1
NCES district ID
3808130
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$44,234
Composite
36.39/100
National rank
#4681
State rank
#27 of 53 in ND

Livability — Grand Forks

Score
78/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#2645

Category grades

Amenities B Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grand Forks, ND
County
Grand Forks County · 58,851 people
City population
58,851
Metro
Grand Forks, ND-MN
Population (ZIP)
16,478
Household income
$60,474
Rent vs Own
55.2% rent · 44.8% own
Severe rent burden
1031.0

Population outlook (Grand Forks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,606 people
By 2030
86,489 · +7.3%
By 2040
99,506 · +23.4%
By 2050
115,269 · +43.0%
By 2075
171,303 · +112.5%
By 2100
238,330 · +195.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 3% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 23% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Grand Forks

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.1% · R 58.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+13.3 2016: R+18.5 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -146.25%
Current HPI
183.3667
Rent YoY
▲ 5.95%
Metro
Grand Forks, ND-MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $215,000 GFAAR
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $225,000 GFAAR
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $750 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $750 APPFOLIO
  • 2014-09-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-08-29 Sold (MLS) GFAAR
  • 2014-05-28 Listed $136,000 GFAAR
  • 2010-09-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-02-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-12-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-12-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,702 · -7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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