Multi-family
618 & 620 8th Ave N · Grand Forks, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property. Side by side duplex with an excellent income & rental history. Newer shingles & several newer windows.
Key facts
- Income potential
- Functional layouts
- 9,139 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes listed (see listing for amount)
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Parking pad
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water connected; Public sewer connected
- Home design: Duplex; Two-story; Residential income / Multi-family property; Zoned A-1 Limited Development
- Construction: Above-grade finished area approximately 1,934; Total building area approximately 3,120
- Exterior features: Concrete parking pad; Off-street parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Range; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $773 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
- Recommended offer: $187k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in ND, #2,645 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
- Grand Forks 1 (urban): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #27 of 53 in ND (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wilder Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #173 of 236 statewide, top 76%, 177 students, 62% FRL); Valley Middle School (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #31 of 35 statewide, top 88%, 513 students, 56% FRL); Central High School (math 29% / reading 56%, grade F, #48 of 144 statewide, top 33%, 1,093 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 29% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,732/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1031% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.15%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $249,821
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1115 N 20th St | 0.55mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,715 (-2%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $143 | 53 |
| 1513 University Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,522 (-13%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $105 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $24,362
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $121,068
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58203
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,732 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$225 /mo · $2,702/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$574
- Net cashflow
- $773
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $889 | -5% $831 | +0% $773 | +5% $715 | +10% $657 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $557 | -5% $665 | +0% $773 | +5% $881 | +10% $988 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $876 | -0.5pp $825 | base $773 | +0.5pp $720 | +1.0pp $665 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,732 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,366 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,366 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,732 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 N 4th St Grand Forks, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $2,345 | $2.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $205,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $205,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $205,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $205,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $215,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $215,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $215,000
-
2026-03-20$225,000 Active
-
2024-04-10historical $750
-
2024-03-13$750
-
2014-09-02soldstatus
-
2014-08-29soldstatus 142-char remark
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
Great investment property. Side by side duplex with an excellent income & rental history. Newer shingles & several newer windows.
-
2014-05-28$136,000 142-char remark
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
Great investment property. Side by side duplex with an excellent income & rental history. Newer shingles & several newer windows.
-
2010-09-02soldstatus
-
2006-02-16soldstatus
-
2005-12-21soldstatus
-
2005-08-31soldstatus
-
2005-08-31soldstatus
-
2001-12-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,702 · $225/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,702 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,784
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$2,702
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,623
- − Management
- −$2,623
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable income
- $6,365
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,528
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Forks 1
- NCES district ID
- 3808130
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,234
- Composite
- 36.39/100
- National rank
- #4681
- State rank
- #27 of 53 in ND
Livability — Grand Forks
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Forks, ND
- County
- Grand Forks County · 58,851 people
- City population
- 58,851
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,478
- Household income
- $60,474
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1031.0
Population outlook (Grand Forks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,606 people
- By 2030
- 86,489 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 99,506 · +23.4%
- By 2050
- 115,269 · +43.0%
- By 2075
- 171,303 · +112.5%
- By 2100
- 238,330 · +195.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 23% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Forks
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.1% · R 58.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+13.3 2016: R+18.5 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.25%
- Current HPI
- 183.3667
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.95%
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+58.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $215,000 GFAAR
- 2026-03-20 Listed $225,000 GFAAR
- 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $750 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $750 APPFOLIO
- 2014-09-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-08-29 Sold (MLS) — GFAAR
- 2014-05-28 Listed $136,000 GFAAR
- 2010-09-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-02-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-12-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-12-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,702 · -7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…