1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
468 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$367
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$214
Net cashflow
$-715/mo
Annual
$-8,578/yr
Cap rate
2.39%
Cash-on-cash
-13.92%
DSCR
0.38
1% rule
0.46%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-715 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (47.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (53.6% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $102k (53.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Holloway Elementary (math 5% / reading 19%, grade F, #554 of 627 statewide, top 88%, 498 students, 98% FRL); John L Leflore Magnet School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 618 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 67% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $220k implies a 419% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VP3V6WBAX9HDD2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29