2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,827/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$212
HOA
−$130
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$384
Net cashflow
$-105/mo
Annual
$-1,255/yr
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.95%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$64,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (8.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (20.5% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $183k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#53 in VA, #1,452 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F.
Montgomery County Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #47 of 131 in VA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Christiansburg Primary (405 students, 49% FRL); Christiansburg Middle (math 38% / reading 63%, grade C, #226 of 342 statewide, top 67%, 752 students, 44% FRL); Christiansburg High (math 79% / reading 77%, grade A-, #80 of 319 statewide, top 25%, 1,116 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $175k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in Christiansburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VPA2D999JPHJMS
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29