4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,988/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$345
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$418
Net cashflow
$-111/mo
Annual
$-1,333/yr
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.87%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$71,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-111 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (7.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (22.0% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $199k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#70 in MA, #3,820 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, crime D.
Pittsfield (urban): math 19% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #272 of 302 in MA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Egremont (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #421 of 938 statewide, top 48%, 382 students, 0% FRL); Theodore Herberg Middle (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #232 of 305 statewide, top 76%, 496 students, 0% FRL); Pittsfield High (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #203 of 343 statewide, top 60%, 651 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.7% in Pittsfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VR09RT9616FWKT
· Data 10 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29