3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 106 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,750/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$341
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$578
Net cashflow
$599/mo
Annual
$7,191/yr
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.93%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $599 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $214k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,046 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Perkiomen Valley SD (suburban): math 53% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #46 of 539 in PA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Schwenksville El Sch (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B, #249 of 1,518 statewide, top 19%, 485 students, 27% FRL); Perkiomen Valley Ms-West (math 32% / reading 66%, grade C-, #140 of 512 statewide, top 28%, 557 students, 24% FRL); Perkiomen Valley Hs (math 80% / reading 75%, grade A-, #21 of 437 statewide, top 5%, 1,736 students, 16% FRL).
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
12 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $160k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.8% in Schwenksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VRCWYEES745Y7D
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29