3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,159 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 216 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,295/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$235
HOA
−$8
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$482
Net cashflow
$154/mo
Annual
$1,845/yr
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.44%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (15.0% below list).
It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#384 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Woodland Park School District No. Re-2 (town): math 28% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 86 in CO (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Summit Elementary School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #540 of 966 statewide, top 57%, 259 students, 36% FRL); Woodland Park Middle School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #95 of 270 statewide, top 37%, 386 students, 34% FRL); Woodland Park High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #115 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 579 students, 33% FRL).
Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 148 units permitted in Teller County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Teller County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
10 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.5% in Divide — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29