6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,957 sqft ·
Built 1974
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,770/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,812
Tax + insurance
−$2,221
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,262
Net cashflow
$-524/mo
Annual
$-6,292/yr
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.55%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$363,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $1.30M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-524 ($-6k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-262/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.22M (5.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.08M (17.1% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.28M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.08M (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $39k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#355 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Harrison Central School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #92 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Parsons Memorial School (math 71% / reading 62%, grade B+, #575 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 488 students, 24% FRL); Louis M Klein Middle School (math 51% / reading 71%, grade B+, #150 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 824 students, 22% FRL); Harrison High School (math 96%, 1,064 students, 21% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.2% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,770/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($154k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29