4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,490 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,725/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$675
HOA
−$54
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$572
Net cashflow
$7/mo
Annual
$89/yr
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.89%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($89/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $266k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#293 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Coupeville School District (rural): math 54% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #40 of 291 in WA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 402 units permitted in Island County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Island County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 1.7% in Camano — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
CashFlowRE · CFR-VT2G652P9D50GP
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29