🌊 Lakefront
14 Leitch Pl · Camano, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.49%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 80°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Do I hear summer vacation get away? This unique home is located in a beach community with a shared boat launch. The home has two joined manufactured homes, a large garage, patio and deck with a view to the sound! The home could be used as two separate living arrangements as it has a door between the two homes that can be closed. The home needs some TLC such as paint and flooring to put a shine on it! The one home has a 1 bedroom with an on-suite, large kitchen, dining room, living room, laundry, full guest bath and a side room that was being used as a library. The single wide has a kitchen, living room, two bedrooms and a full bath. The larger home empties to a large, covered deck with a vi
Key facts
- Shared boat launch
- Beach community
- Large covered deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on a dead-end street; Lot is level; Lot size approximately 0.2199 acres; MLS square footage listed as 1,490 (self approx measurement); Living area reported as 1,490
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash, Conventional
- HOA & community: Has HOA; annual association fee of $650 (includes items noted in remarks); Association contact: Tammy Ross, Treasurer; Community features include boat launch and CCRs; Community waterfront / private beach access
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; 6 uncovered parking spaces; Driveway; Detached garage; Off-street parking; RV parking
- Security: Fully fenced
- Utilities: Community water (NW Naturals/HOA Community); Septic tank sewer; Electric power (PSE); Electric water heater
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Main-level entry; North-facing; Has a view; Property condition: Good
- Construction: Built or effective year 1962; Construction materials: Metal/vinyl and wood; See remarks for roof and foundation details
- Exterior features: Deck; Fully fenced yard; Outbuildings; Patio; RV parking; Metal/vinyl and wood exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 three-quarter bathroom; 2 bathtubs; 3 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Dining room; Walk-in closet(s); Water heater
- Laundry & utility: Water heater (electric) located outside each building type
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($89/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
- Recommended offer: $266k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 1.7% in Camano — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#293 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Coupeville School District (rural): math 54% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #40 of 291 in WA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 402 units permitted in Island County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Island County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.89%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $491,000
- List price
- $270,000
- Delta
- -45.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-43,068
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-36,033
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98239
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,725 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$54
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$572
- Net cashflow
- $7
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $54 · $648/yr
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-08$270,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,635 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,646 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,011/yr (+$84/mo · 61.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 49% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥80°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,697
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$6,469
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,616
- − Management
- −$2,616
- − HOA
- −$648
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$4,264
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,023
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,112/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coupeville School District
- NCES district ID
- 5301800
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,404
- Composite
- 56.12/100
- National rank
- #2536
- State rank
- #40 of 291 in WA
Livability — Camano
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #10282
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Island County · 71,196 people
- City population
- 17,535
- Metro
- Oak Harbor, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,656
- Household income
- $92,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 140.0
Population outlook (Island County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,019 people
- By 2030
- 81,329 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 78,552 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 77,042 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 80,799 · -1.5%
- By 2100
- 84,451 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Island
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 56.8% · R 40.3% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.3pp toward D · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+12.0 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -274.50%
- Current HPI
- 193.7597
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Oak Harbor, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $270,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+21.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,635 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…