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14 Leitch Pl 🌊 Lakefront
C+ Composite 63.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$270,000

14 Leitch Pl · Camano, WA 98239
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,490 sqft · SingleFamily · 24 Days on market
Built 1900 9,579 sqft lot $181/sqft · 45% below area Est $491k · 45% under $54/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Do I hear summer vacation get away? This unique home is located in a beach community with a shared boat launch. The home has two joined manufactured homes, a large garage, patio and deck with a view to the sound! The home could be used as two separate living arrangements as it has a door between the two homes that can be closed. The home needs some TLC such as paint and flooring to put a shine on it! The one home has a 1 bedroom with an on-suite, large kitchen, dining room, living room, laundry, full guest bath and a side room that was being used as a library. The single wide has a kitchen, living room, two bedrooms and a full bath. The larger home empties to a large, covered deck with a vi

Key facts

  • Shared boat launch
  • Beach community
  • Large covered deck

Tags

BEACH COMMUNITYSHARED BOAT LAUNCHLARGE COVERED DECKWORKSHOP WITH SINK BASINFRENCH DOORS ON FRONT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located on a dead-end street; Lot is level; Lot size approximately 0.2199 acres; MLS square footage listed as 1,490 (self approx measurement); Living area reported as 1,490
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash, Conventional
  • HOA & community: Has HOA; annual association fee of $650 (includes items noted in remarks); Association contact: Tammy Ross, Treasurer; Community features include boat launch and CCRs; Community waterfront / private beach access

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 covered parking space; 6 uncovered parking spaces; Driveway; Detached garage; Off-street parking; RV parking
  • Security: Fully fenced
  • Utilities: Community water (NW Naturals/HOA Community); Septic tank sewer; Electric power (PSE); Electric water heater
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Main-level entry; North-facing; Has a view; Property condition: Good
  • Construction: Built or effective year 1962; Construction materials: Metal/vinyl and wood; See remarks for roof and foundation details
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fully fenced yard; Outbuildings; Patio; RV parking; Metal/vinyl and wood exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 three-quarter bathroom; 2 bathtubs; 3 showers
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Dining room; Walk-in closet(s); Water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Water heater (electric) located outside each building type

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($89/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
  • Recommended offer: $266k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 1.7% in Camano — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#293 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Coupeville School District (rural): math 54% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #40 of 291 in WA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 402 units permitted in Island County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Island County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $265,950 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.89%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$491,000
List price
$270,000
Delta
-45.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-43,068
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-36,033
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98239

Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,725 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
Insurance
$112
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$54
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$572
Net cashflow
$7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,715
Max offer price $270,000
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$54 · $648/yr

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-08
    listed $270,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,635 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,646 · $220/mo
Expected delta
+$1,011/yr (+$84/mo · 61.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 49% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥80°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,697
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$1,635
− Insurance
−$6,469
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,616
− Management
−$2,616
− HOA
−$648
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$4,264
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,023
After-tax cash flow
$1,112/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coupeville School District
NCES district ID
5301800
Math proficiency
54% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$57,404
Composite
56.12/100
National rank
#2536
State rank
#40 of 291 in WA

Livability — Camano

Score
67/100
State rank
#293
US rank
#10282

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Island County · 71,196 people
City population
17,535
Metro
Oak Harbor, WA
Population (ZIP)
7,656
Household income
$92,125
Rent vs Own
14.2% rent · 85.8% own
Severe rent burden
140.0

Population outlook (Island County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,019 people
By 2030
81,329 · -0.8%
By 2040
78,552 · -4.2%
By 2050
77,042 · -6.1%
By 2075
80,799 · -1.5%
By 2100
84,451 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Island

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 56.8% · R 40.3% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+10.3pp toward D · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+12.0 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -274.50%
Current HPI
193.7597
Rent YoY
Metro
Oak Harbor, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $270,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+21.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,635 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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