3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 2023
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 701 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,180/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$259/mo
Annual
$3,110/yr
Cap rate
9.26%
Cash-on-cash
10.58%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 701 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#98 in WA, #1,912 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Yakima School District (urban): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #238 of 291 in WA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.3%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 11% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.4% in Yakima — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 701 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VT6P7Z2QZ1841N
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29