4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,370 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,105/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,435
Tax + insurance
−$725
HOA
−$407
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$862
Net cashflow
$-1,324/mo
Annual
$-15,882/yr
Cap rate
3.87%
Cash-on-cash
-8.66%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$183,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $655k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $421k (35.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $411k (37.3% below list).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($616k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $411k (37.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#6 in WA, #104 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Issaquah School District (suburban): math 77% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #4 of 291 in WA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $265k; list at $655k implies a 148% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 1.4% in Issaquah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VT8NK18S3H3V1A
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29