877 5th Pl NE · Issaquah, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +7.3/10.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- 1% rule +1.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$655,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Freshly updated and move-in ready, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath townhome offers a functional and inviting layout in the sought-after Issaquah Highlands neighborhood. Light-filled living spaces and a seamless connection between the kitchen, dining, and main living area create a comfortable setting for both everyday living and entertaining. With four bedrooms, the home provides flexibility for guests, a home office, hobbies, or changing lifestyle needs. Conveniently located approximately . 4 miles from Swedish Issaquah Campus, the home also offers easy access to parks, scenic trails, shopping, dining, and transit options nearby.
Key facts
- Nearby trails
- Nearby parks
- Nearby dining
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $655k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $421k (35.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $411k (37.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $411k (37.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 1.4% in Issaquah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 89/100 on livability (#6 in WA, #104 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Issaquah School District (suburban): math 77% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #4 of 291 in WA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($616k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $265k; list at $655k implies a 148% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.63% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.66%
- DSCR
- 0.61
- GRM
- 13.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $813,951
- List price
- $655,000
- Delta
- -19.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 807 5th Pl NE | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,460 (+7%) | 2mo | $675,000 | $462 | 83 |
| 364 NE Darby Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,307 (-5%) | 0mo | $685,000 | $524 | 82 |
| 841 5th Pl NE | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,290 (-6%) | 1mo | $620,000 | $481 | 82 |
| 1027 6th Walk NE | 0.10mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,515 (+11%) | 3mo | $950,000 | $627 | 66 |
| 561 NE Ellis Dr | 0.08mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,519 (+11%) | 5mo | $940,000 | $619 | 65 |
| 966 6th Walk NE | 0.08mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,519 (+11%) | 6mo | $919,999 | $606 | 64 |
| 1088 6th Ave NE Unit 18.6 | 0.15mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,515 (+11%) | 6mo | $965,000 | $637 | 61 |
| 1210 6th Ave NE Unit 17.4 | 0.15mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,515 (+11%) | 8mo | $960,000 | $634 | 59 |
| 1408 7th Ave NE | 0.18mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,515 (+11%) | 10mo | $947,500 | $625 | 57 |
| 956 6th Walk NE | 0.09mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,568 (+14%) | 8mo | $950,000 | $606 | 56 |
| 23300 SE Black Nugget Rd Unit D3 | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,462 (+7%) | 3mo | $780,000 | $534 | 48 |
| 23120 SE Black Nugget Rd Unit X2 | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,479 (+8%) | 11mo | $787,000 | $532 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -35.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.10×
- Total profit
- $-202,379
- Equity at exit
- $97,663
- IRR
- -69.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.80×
- Total profit
- $-330,916
- Equity at exit
- $56,632
Cash invested: $183,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98029
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 13.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,105 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,435
- Tax from tax record
- −$452 /mo · $5,422/yr
- Insurance
- −$273
- HOA
- −$407
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$862
- Net cashflow
- $-1,324
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-953 | -5% $-1,138 | +0% $-1,324 | +5% $-1,509 | +10% $-1,694 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,648 | -5% $-1,486 | +0% $-1,324 | +5% $-1,161 | +10% $-999 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-994 | -0.5pp $-1,157 | base $-1,324 | +0.5pp $-1,493 | +1.0pp $-1,666 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $163,750
- Closing costs
- $19,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 580 8th Ave NE Issaquah, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1272 | $4,581 | $3.60 | 0d | 3 | 0.33mi |
| 1320 Chelsea Walk NE Issaquah, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1804 | $4,000 | $2.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 942 Discovery Cir NE Issaquah, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1199 | $3,957 | $3.30 | 0d | 16 | 0.48mi |
| 906 NE Lilac St Issaquah, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1081 | $4,727 | $4.37 | 0d | 17 | 0.60mi |
| 23425 SE Black Nugget Rd Issaquah, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1270 | $4,490 | $3.53 | 0d | 26 | 0.62mi |
| 441 NE Alder St #2 Issaquah, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $3,900 | $2.47 | 20d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 441 NE Alder St #1 Issaquah, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $3,900 | $2.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1380 NE Hickory Ln Issaquah, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1630 | $3,700 | $2.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1460 NE Hawthorne St Issaquah, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1220 | $3,889 | $3.19 | 0d | 9 | 0.82mi |
| 40 Newport Way SW Issaquah, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $2,599 | $2.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 145 Newport Way NW Issaquah, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1099 | $3,495 | $3.18 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 22500 SE 56th St Issaquah, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1046 | $3,179 | $3.04 | 0d | 10 | 1.07mi |
| 600 Front St S Issaquah, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 987 | $3,467 | $3.51 | 0d | 3 | 1.20mi |
| 2587 NE Julep St Issaquah, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1630 | $3,450 | $2.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $407 · $4,884/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-12price $655,000
-
2026-03-12$650,000 Active
-
2008-10-28soldstatus $264,570 Sold
-
2008-10-05historical
-
2008-08-04$264,570
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,422 · $452/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,419 · $535/mo
- Expected delta
- +$997/yr (+$83/mo · 18.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,262
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,690
- − Property taxes
- −$5,422
- − Insurance
- −$3,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,941
- − Management
- −$3,941
- − HOA
- −$4,884
- − Depreciation
- −$19,055
- Taxable loss
- −$27,945
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,707
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,176/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Issaquah School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303750
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $109,747
- Composite
- 73.35/100
- National rank
- #339
- State rank
- #4 of 291 in WA
Livability — Issaquah
- Score
- 89/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #104
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Issaquah, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 59,541
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,586
- Household income
- $170,759
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1018.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Asian 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Chinese 10% Other Indo-European 9% Other Asian/Pacific 7%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -334.27%
- Current HPI
- 378.2891
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.91%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+147.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $655,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Listed $650,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-28 Sold (MLS) $264,570 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-05 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-04 Listed $264,570 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,422 · +18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…