9 bd · 5.1 ba ·
990 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 123 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,158/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$466
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$663
Net cashflow
$560/mo
Annual
$6,726/yr
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.58%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$78,372
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.7-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $187/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
Northwest Community Schools (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
12 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $240k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,158/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 840% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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