2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Manufactured
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,337/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$483
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$491
Net cashflow
$-158/mo
Annual
$-1,894/yr
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.33%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $290k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (7.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (19.4% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $234k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#383 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
New Hartford Central School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #128 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Perry Junior High School (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 584 students, 21% FRL); New Hartford Senior High School (math 98% / reading 87%, grade A+, #158 of 1,100 statewide, top 15%, 645 students, 19% FRL).
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VWZ8DDC6Y0VKZA
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29