4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,412 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,432/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$561
Tax + insurance
−$260
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$511
Net cashflow
$1,100/mo
Annual
$13,203/yr
Cap rate
18.63%
Cash-on-cash
44.07%
DSCR
2.96
1% rule
2.27%
Cash to close
$29,960
Investor read
This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 2×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $107k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $367/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $107k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $740 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $107k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 5.7% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VXG3725HW6DHNM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29