3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,186/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,731
Tax + insurance
−$376
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$459
Net cashflow
$-379/mo
Annual
$-4,550/yr
Cap rate
4.91%
Cash-on-cash
-4.92%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$92,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-379 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (20.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (33.8% below list).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $219k (33.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $216k; list at $330k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29