24 bd · 12.0 ba ·
10,692 sqft ·
Built 1971
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,836/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,866
Tax + insurance
−$2,500
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,536
Net cashflow
$2,934/mo
Annual
$35,211/yr
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.38%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$420,000
Investor read
This is a 12 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($35k/yr) — positive. Per door: $245/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $1.50M).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.32M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.32M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#115 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F, amenities F.
Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta (urban): math 15% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #71 of 86 in CO (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Jackson Elementary School (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #724 of 966 statewide, top 77%, 471 students, 83% FRL); Greeley Central High School (math 14% / reading 36%, grade F, #263 of 381 statewide, top 69%, 1,484 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 54% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).
Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $775k; list at $1.50M implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.3% in Greeley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $16,836/mo this rent would consume 370% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 3061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-W09DETA3QYTPX6
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29