215 Liz Dr

St. Martinville, LA 70582

$70,000B

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Built 2022 · Manufactured · Pending · 131 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,250/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax + insurance: −$104
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$262
• Net cashflow: $517/mo
• Annual: $6,202/yr
• Cap rate: 15.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 31.64%
• DSCR: 2.41
• 1% rule: 1.79%
• Cash to close: $19,600

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
• It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• St. Martin Parish (rural): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #49 of 98 in LA (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: St. Martinville Primary School (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #381 of 646 statewide, top 59%, 498 students, 77% FRL); St. Martinville Junior High School (math 9% / reading 32%, grade F, #161 of 218 statewide, top 76%, 385 students, 75% FRL); St. Martinville Senior High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #203 of 265 statewide, top 80%, 610 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 73% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 54 units permitted in St. Martin Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• St. Martin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 6.9% in St. Martinville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.