2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
968 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 349 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$919/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$267
Tax + insurance
−$68
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$193
Net cashflow
$391/mo
Annual
$4,693/yr
Cap rate
15.50%
Cash-on-cash
32.87%
DSCR
2.46
1% rule
1.80%
Cash to close
$14,280
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $51k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($919 rent vs $51k).
It's been on market 349 days — a 12% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $45k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $353 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IA, #2,944 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Charles City Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #262 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Washington Elementary School (375 students, 63% FRL); Charles City Ms (math 51% / reading 59%, grade B-, #201 of 246 statewide, top 82%, 423 students, 54% FRL); Charles City High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #279 of 336 statewide, top 85%, 534 students, 47% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 165d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 38 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $13k; list at $51k implies a 292% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 5.6% in Charles City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 349 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and discoloration suggest significant damage and potential water infiltration.
Major: exterior siding
— The siding is visibly worn and discolored, indicating it may need repainting or replacement.
Major: landscaping
— The overgrown landscaping detracts from the home's curb appeal and requires trimming and maintenance.
Minor: interior walls/paint
— The walls and paint appear to be in fair condition, but a thorough inspection is needed to confirm this.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W26TJ12NSCFWEF
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29