🏷️ Likely Rental
418 S Jackson St · Charles City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$51,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This ranch style 3 bedroom home has 1 bathroom and a utility shed. It rents for $869 per month on a month to month HUD lease. The tenant pays the utilities, lawn mowing and snow removal.
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 303 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $51k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $51k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 6.4% in Charles City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IA, #2,944 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Charles City Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #262 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Washington Elementary School (375 students, 63% FRL); Charles City Ms (math 51% / reading 59%, grade B-, #201 of 246 statewide, top 82%, 423 students, 54% FRL); Charles City High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #279 of 336 statewide, top 85%, 534 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $353 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $51k implies a 292% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.05%
- DSCR
- 2.96
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,184
- List price
- $51,000
- Delta
- -44.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414 S Jackson St | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,048 (+8%) | 4mo | $49,000 | $47 | 76 |
| 204 Charles St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (-4%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $145 | 76 |
| 708 Freeman St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 873 (-10%) | 4mo | $41,000 | $47 | 61 |
| 304 6th St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 899 (-7%) | 6mo | $52,000 | $58 | 61 |
| 813 Parkside Ln | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,066 (+10%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $155 | 58 |
| 602 Freeman St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (+9%) | 13mo | $147,500 | $140 | 49 |
| 1009 S Johnson St | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,092 (+13%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $147 | 48 |
| 705 Cedar St | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 846 (-13%) | 23mo | $59,500 | $70 | 44 |
| 603 Harwood St | 0.70mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 899 (-7%) | 15mo | $78,000 | $87 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $25,131
- Equity at exit
- $7,604
- IRR
- 47.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.54×
- Total profit
- $64,901
- Equity at exit
- $4,410
Cash invested: $14,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 1.0 mo (100%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $75,000 ($63/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 310 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +48.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 50616
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,088 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$267
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $556/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $524
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $553 | -5% $539 | +0% $524 | +5% $510 | +10% $495 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $438 | -5% $481 | +0% $524 | +5% $567 | +10% $610 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $550 | -0.5pp $537 | base $524 | +0.5pp $511 | +1.0pp $498 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,750
- Closing costs
- $1,530
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1030 13th Ave Charles City, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 139d | 28 | 1.33mi |
| 1004 20th Ave Charles City, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $975 | $1.02 | 119d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $51,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $51,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $51,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $51,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $51,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $51,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $51,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $51,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $51,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $51,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $51,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $51,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $51,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $51,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $51,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $51,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $51,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $51,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $51,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $51,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $51,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $51,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $51,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $51,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $51,000 Active 271 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $51,000 Active 270 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $51,000 Active 269 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $51,000 Active 268 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $51,000 Active 267 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $51,000 Active 266 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $51,000 Active 265 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $51,000 Active 264 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $51,000 Active 263 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $51,000 Active 262 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $51,000 Active 261 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $51,000 Active 260 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $51,000 Active 259 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $51,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $51,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $51,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $51,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $51,000 Active 254 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $51,000 Active 253 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $51,000 Active 252 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $51,000 Active 249 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $51,000 Active 248 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $51,000 Active 247 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $51,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $51,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $51,000 Active 242 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $556 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $678 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 22.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,857
- − Property taxes
- −$556
- − Insurance
- −$255
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,044
- − Management
- −$1,044
- − Depreciation
- −$1,484
- Taxable income
- $5,812
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,395
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,896/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This single-family home requires significant repairs and maintenance, particularly to the roof and exterior siding, to improve its condition and value.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of wear and discoloration suggest significant damage and potential water infiltration.
- Major exterior siding — The siding is visibly worn and discolored, indicating it may need repainting or replacement.
- Major landscaping — The overgrown landscaping detracts from the home's curb appeal and requires trimming and maintenance.
- Minor interior walls/paint — The walls and paint appear to be in fair condition, but a thorough inspection is needed to confirm this.
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both trimming the landscaping — A well-maintained lawn and landscaping can enhance the home's resale and rental value. ↑
- Both replacing the roof — A new roof will protect the home from water damage and improve its overall condition, boosting both resale and rental values. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charles City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907080
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,414
- Composite
- 47.32/100
- National rank
- #2299
- State rank
- #262 of 289 in IA
Livability — Charles City
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #2944
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charles City, IA
- County
- Floyd · 15,524 people
- City population
- 9,419
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,419
- Household income
- $63,226
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4% of renters
Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,524 people
- By 2030
- 15,254 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 14,830 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 14,660 · -5.6%
- By 2075
- 15,548 · +0.2%
- By 2100
- 17,406 · +12.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Scandinavian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Floyd
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.7) · D 36.5% · R 62.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: -25.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.7 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+14.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.03%
- Current HPI
- 187.4742
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+292.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-22 Listed $51,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 1996-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $556 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…