2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,254 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Townhouse
· Active
· 121 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,106/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$367
HOA
−$445
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$442
Net cashflow
$-301/mo
Annual
$-3,615/yr
Cap rate
4.65%
Cash-on-cash
-5.87%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-301 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (19.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (4.3% below list).
It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Thirkell Elementarymiddle School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 501 students, 91% FRL); Northwestern High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #659 of 713 statewide, top 97%, 358 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 90% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 54d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
18 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 9.9% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29