4 bd · 4.5 ba ·
3,240 sqft ·
Built 2019
· Other
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$572/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$665
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$120
Net cashflow
$-2,305/mo
Annual
$-27,663/yr
Cap rate
-0.64%
Cash-on-cash
-24.76%
DSCR
-0.10
1% rule
0.14%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.5-bath other listed at $399k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-28k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $65k (83.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $399k).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($375k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $65k (83.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#694 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A-, employment B+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elementary (619 students, 78% FRL); La Quinta Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 754 students, 83% FRL); La Quinta High (math 31% / reading 65%, grade D, #380 of 1,170 statewide, top 33%, 2,500 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 56% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 874 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 77% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate -0.6% vs local median 3.2% in La Quinta — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
At $4,578/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($99k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 84% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29