4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,820 sqft ·
Built 1966
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,928/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,730
Tax + insurance
−$550
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$825
Net cashflow
$823/mo
Annual
$9,879/yr
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.69%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$92,372
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $330k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $823 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $412/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $330k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $320k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#97 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment D-.
Springfield (urban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #296 of 302 in MA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $82k; list at $330k implies a 305% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.1% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,928/mo this rent would consume 97% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1322% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen countertops
— Cluttered and could use cleaning
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Simple and dated
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and could benefit from repainting
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29