3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1943
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,403/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,491
Tax + insurance
−$355
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$715
Net cashflow
$-157/mo
Annual
$-1,889/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.42%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$133,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $475k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-157 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $447k (5.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (28.3% below list).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($432k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $340k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Kalihi Waena Elementary School (math 14% / reading 28%, grade F, #157 of 183 statewide, top 87%, 465 students, 64% FRL); Governor Sanford B Dole Middle School (math 8% / reading 24%, grade F, #41 of 42 statewide, top 98%, 530 students, 78% FRL); Governor Wallace Rider Farrington High School (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #29 of 43 statewide, top 67%, 2,238 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 39% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hawaii Department Of Education average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $400k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W6KFVR5ACPB82E
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29