2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
945 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,450/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,078
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$-62/mo
Annual
$-744/yr
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.29%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$57,540
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $206k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-744/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (5.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (29.4% below list).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 47/100 on livability (#422 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Washington County (suburban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #54 of 139 in TN (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West View School (math 11% / reading 23%, grade F, #709 of 952 statewide, top 77%, 311 students, 0% FRL); Jonesborough Middle School (math 27% / reading 25%, grade F, #144 of 333 statewide, top 44%, 416 students, 0% FRL); David Crockett High School (math 25% / reading 39%, grade F, #56 of 332 statewide, top 20%, 1,181 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,155 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (437 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $206k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $58k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.8% in Telford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W6VK8S41EWT6Q6
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29