25 bd · 5.0 ba ·
2,538 sqft ·
Built 1973
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$26,453/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,102
Tax + insurance
−$2,575
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,555
Net cashflow
$10,221/mo
Annual
$122,649/yr
Cap rate
14.23%
Cash-on-cash
28.35%
DSCR
2.26
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$432,600
Investor read
This is a 20×1.0bd/1.5ba + 5×3.0bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $1.54M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $10k ($123k/yr) — positive. Per door: $409/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($26k rent vs $1.54M).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.45M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.45M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $46k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#39 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Kingsport (urban): math 35% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #26 of 139 in TN (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Andrew Jackson Elementary School (math 27% / reading 23%, grade F, #541 of 952 statewide, top 57%, 496 students, 0% FRL); John Sevier Middle School (math 21% / reading 24%, grade F, #172 of 333 statewide, top 52%, 750 students, 0% FRL); Dobyns - Bennett High School (math 23% / reading 56%, grade F, #28 of 332 statewide, top 9%, 2,514 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 453 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sullivan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $1.54M implies a 1718% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $433k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.8% in Kingsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $26,453/mo this rent would consume 645% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1384% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-W898W70FE2QCNK
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29