2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
696 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 358 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$809/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$170
Net cashflow
$-45/mo
Annual
$-538/yr
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.94%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-538/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $93k (6.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $81k (18.3% below list).
It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#38 in KS, #2,950 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Oakley (rural): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #139 of 169 in KS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.
Logan County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $14k; list at $99k implies a 633% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WA9RJ5DZQSPCRZ
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29