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716 Colby Ave
D Composite 42.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$99,000

716 Colby Ave · Oakley, KS 67748
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 696 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 357 Days on market
Built 1930 6,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Attached garage
  • New flooring

Tags

ATTACHED GARAGESPACIOUS BACKYARDNEW INTERIOR EXTERIOR PAINTNEW FLOORING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.15 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Cooktop

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-538/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $93k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $81k (18.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#38 in KS, #2,950 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Oakley (rural): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #139 of 169 in KS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
  • Logan County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 357 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $99k implies a 633% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,926 (18.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 357 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.94%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$18,716
Equity at exit
$54,764
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$59,699
Equity at exit
$93,426

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67748

Home prices YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$809 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$170
Net cashflow
$-45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $92,510
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $24 -5% $-11 +0% $-45 +5% $-79 +10% $-113
Rent -10% $-109 -5% $-77 +0% $-45 +5% $-13 +10% $19
Rate -1.0pp $5 -0.5pp $-20 base $-45 +0.5pp $-71 +1.0pp $-97

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 357 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 355 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 354 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 353 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 352 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 350 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 349 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 346 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 345 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 344 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 342 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 340 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 339 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 338 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 337 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 336 DOM
  17. 2024-10-01
    listed $99,000 Active
  18. 2002-09-01
    soldstatus $13,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,711
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$777
− Management
−$777
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$2,248
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$540
After-tax cash flow
$1/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oakley
NCES district ID
2010050
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,077
Composite
20.73/100
National rank
#8521
State rank
#139 of 169 in KS

Livability — Oakley

Score
77/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#2950

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oakley, KS
Population (ZIP)
2,695

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,054 people
By 2030
3,164 · +3.6%
By 2040
3,376 · +10.5%
By 2050
3,660 · +19.8%
By 2075
4,503 · +47.4%
By 2100
5,039 · +65.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.6) · D 13.1% · R 84.7% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -66.8pp · 2024: -71.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.6 2020: R+72.8 2016: R+72.3 2012: R+68.4 2008: R+66.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.78%
Current HPI
191.2601
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+633.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2024-10-01 Listed $99,000 SWKSBOR
  • 2002-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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