3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 158 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,306/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$181/mo
Annual
$2,171/yr
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.54%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (6.6% below list).
It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#55 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Allen Parish (rural): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #36 of 98 in LA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Oakdale Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #487 of 646 statewide, top 78%, 562 students, 73% FRL); Oakdale Middle School (math 11% / reading 32%, grade F, #158 of 218 statewide, top 73%, 322 students, 74% FRL); Oakdale High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #98 of 265 statewide, top 38%, 322 students, 61% FRL).
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Allen Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allen County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $140k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WBF1ZCCS7SJJRN
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29