6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,621 sqft ·
Built 1898
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,233/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,142
Tax + insurance
−$958
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,729
Net cashflow
$2,405/mo
Annual
$28,856/yr
Cap rate
11.11%
Cash-on-cash
17.20%
DSCR
1.77
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$167,751
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $599k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $599k).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($563k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $563k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#69 in NY, #1,033 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Freeport Union Free School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #325 of 590 in NY (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $115k; list at $599k implies a 421% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WBFX82FNG2ZN9M
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29