4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,007 sqft ·
Built 2026
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,315/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,216
Tax + insurance
−$1,340
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,956
Net cashflow
$1,803/mo
Annual
$21,630/yr
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.61%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$225,123
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $804k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $804k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($792k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $792k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#225 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: cost of living F, health & safety F.
Temecula Valley Unified (urban): math 55% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #173 of 1,400 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $225k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.6% in Temecula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,315/mo this rent would consume 131% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 130% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The independent aerial image shows extensive roof damage and missing shingles.
Major: exterior siding
— The independent aerial image shows extensive damage to the exterior siding.
Major: exterior paint
— The independent aerial image shows extensive damage to the exterior paint.
Major: exterior landscaping
— The independent aerial image shows a lack of landscaping and overgrown vegetation.
Major: exterior fencing
— The independent aerial image shows a lack of fencing and exposed property boundaries.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WF3AVGAW7SDY6D
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29