15 bd · 5.0 ba ·
4,103 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,013/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$595
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,053
Net cashflow
$2,578/mo
Annual
$30,938/yr
Cap rate
26.92%
Cash-on-cash
73.66%
DSCR
4.28
1% rule
3.34%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $516/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#510 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Canajoharie Central School District (town): math 38% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #414 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $150k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29