409 Baxter St

Altus, AR 72821

$125,000C

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,459 sqft · Built 1971 · SingleFamily · Pending · 7 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,279/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax + insurance: −$208
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$269
• Net cashflow: $147/mo
• Annual: $1,760/yr
• Cap rate: 7.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.03%
• DSCR: 1.22
• 1% rule: 1.02%
• Cash to close: $35,000

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#18 in AR, #4,703 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D, employment D, amenities F.
• Ozark School District (town): math 41% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #80 of 238 in AR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Ozark Upper Elementary School (math 40% / reading 31%, grade F, #250 of 454 statewide, top 55%, 267 students, 57% FRL); Ozark Middle School (math 57% / reading 41%, grade C-, #37 of 201 statewide, top 18%, 234 students, 56% FRL); Ozark High School (math 22% / reading 39%, grade F, #134 of 292 statewide, top 47%, 700 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $15k; list at $125k implies a 733% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.