5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,122 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,616/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,453
Tax + insurance
−$471
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$549
Net cashflow
$143/mo
Annual
$1,711/yr
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.21%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$77,560
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $277k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (5.6% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $262k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#38 in ME, #3,905 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
RSU 34 (suburban): math 81% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #80 of 112 in ME (top 71%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Old Town Elementary School (math 83% / reading 83%, grade A+, #151 of 294 statewide, top 52%, 427 students, 57% FRL); Leonard Middle School (math 80% / reading 80%, grade A+, #59 of 85 statewide, top 71%, 306 students, 49% FRL); Old Town High School (math 87% / reading 98%, grade A+, #26 of 108 statewide, top 23%, 536 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 440 units permitted in Penobscot County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Penobscot County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $168k; list at $277k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,616/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 334% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WM1DQ799JTTWHX
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29