4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,893 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,398/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$504
Net cashflow
$138/mo
Annual
$1,662/yr
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
1.98%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (20.1% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $240k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#55 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
Lexington 02 (suburban): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #45 of 80 in SC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cayce Elementary (math 24% / reading 22%, grade F, #469 of 597 statewide, top 79%, 998 students, 100% FRL); Cyril B. Busbee Creative Arts Academy (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #159 of 229 statewide, top 70%, 420 students, 100% FRL); Brookland-Cayce High (math 32% / reading 77%, grade C-, #130 of 196 statewide, top 69%, 1,171 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 59% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $300k implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,398/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 425% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WMWK3BE3VE419J
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29