5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,394 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Townhouse
· Active
· 157 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,781/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$374
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$374
Net cashflow
$116/mo
Annual
$1,390/yr
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.20%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#765 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Southern York County SD (rural): math 39% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #168 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Friendship El Sch (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #883 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 408 students, 36% FRL); Southern Ms (math 20% / reading 54%, grade F, #298 of 512 statewide, top 60%, 441 students, 26% FRL); Susquehannock Hs (math 69% / reading 24%, grade D-, #173 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 928 students, 23% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $175k implies a 600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 48 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29