2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
3,200 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Condo
· Active
· 208 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,978/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$350
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$415
Net cashflow
$112/mo
Annual
$1,341/yr
Cap rate
6.93%
Cash-on-cash
2.28%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $210k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (5.8% below list).
It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#317 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Sacramento City Unified (urban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #804 of 1,400 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.6% in Rosemont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered appearance
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown bushes
CashFlowRE · CFR-WN29PSD21KS438
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29