4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,004 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Land
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,817/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$492
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$382
Net cashflow
$-628/mo
Annual
$-7,537/yr
Cap rate
3.74%
Cash-on-cash
-9.12%
DSCR
0.59
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-628 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (30.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (38.4% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $182k (38.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#488 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Valley View ISD (suburban): math 24% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #631 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Valley View El (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 412 students, 96% FRL); Valley View J H (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,103 of 1,662 statewide, top 67%, 483 students, 95% FRL); Valley View H S (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 1,170 students, 96% FRL).
Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 13309% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WN4KSY8RV7ZPRY
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29