3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,969 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,322/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$236
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$278
Net cashflow
$499/mo
Annual
$5,993/yr
Cap rate
16.45%
Cash-on-cash
36.28%
DSCR
2.61
1% rule
2.24%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $441 of equity ($408 loan paydown + $33 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#344 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Stamford ISD (town): math 50% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #239 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Oliver El (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 303 students, 75% FRL); Stamford Middle (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D+, #424 of 1,662 statewide, top 27%, 110 students, 53% FRL); Stamford H S (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 191 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jones County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WNRK06D527YEF0
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29