3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1936
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,078/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$341
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$436
Net cashflow
$121/mo
Annual
$1,447/yr
Cap rate
6.94%
Cash-on-cash
2.30%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (7.6% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $208k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#194 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Palmer (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #256 of 302 in MA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Old Mill Pond (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #688 of 938 statewide, top 73%, 599 students, 0% FRL); Palmer High (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #265 of 343 statewide, top 77%, 535 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $225k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.6% in Palmer Town — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WR3Z8SCWAM43WG
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29