3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,712 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,478/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,175
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$-165/mo
Annual
$-1,985/yr
Cap rate
5.41%
Cash-on-cash
-3.16%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$62,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $224k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-165 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (13.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (34.0% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (34.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#147 in VA, #4,742 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Halifax County Public School District (town): math 29% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #116 of 131 in VA (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Halifax County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Halifax County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $107k; list at $224k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WS704WBNFNCTQ4
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29