3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 347 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$985/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$72
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$470/mo
Annual
$5,638/yr
Cap rate
18.82%
Cash-on-cash
44.75%
DSCR
2.99
1% rule
2.19%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 347 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#584 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Martin County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #150 of 178 in NC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Williamston Primary (368 students, 99% FRL); Riverside Middle (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #388 of 475 statewide, top 83%, 364 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP.
Martin County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 4.6% in Williamston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 347 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WS8QND1BDQCVR6
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29